Marco-R34GTT Posted February 25, 2009 Share Posted February 25, 2009 (edited) Japan exports drop 45% to new low! http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/7909248.stm Japan also had a trade deficit of 952.6 bn yen ($9.9bn; £6.8bn), the lowest figure since records began in 1979. The demand for Japanese cars in particular dropped by 69%. Demand for electronics and other goods has also slumped as global economies and consumer spending contract, pushing Japan deeper into recession. I know this sounds bad, but with the Aussie dollar taking a wholloping over the last 5/4 months or so, this appears to be some relief in the short-middle term. If you understand how currency values fluctuate in the international market, you would see these export figures as a powerful and telling indicator that the Japanese Yen is likewise poised for an even greater fall.. So with less demand for Japanese products, also brings about in a depleation in demand for the Japanese currency, with a fall in demand also comes a drop in value. Therefore, if the value of the Japanese Yen is to drop, then even against our somewhat weaker Aussie dollar, imports from Japan (Electronics, Cars, Parts ect ect) should hence become cheaper for us once again! *toot* Edited February 25, 2009 by Marco-R34GTT Link to comment https://www.sau.com.au/forums/topic/258596-relief-in-sight-for-aussie-importers-car-enthusiasts-ect-ect/ Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinky Rooster Posted February 25, 2009 Share Posted February 25, 2009 how will this affect other things close to our hearts, such as cake, on the global financial indications? Link to comment https://www.sau.com.au/forums/topic/258596-relief-in-sight-for-aussie-importers-car-enthusiasts-ect-ect/#findComment-4445451 Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marco-R34GTT Posted February 25, 2009 Author Share Posted February 25, 2009 Well that depends if the cakes are being imported from Japan or not.... Link to comment https://www.sau.com.au/forums/topic/258596-relief-in-sight-for-aussie-importers-car-enthusiasts-ect-ect/#findComment-4445483 Share on other sites More sharing options...
hoony Posted February 25, 2009 Share Posted February 25, 2009 won't our dollar be low still as it was before, $1 AUD is still only buying 96 YEN whereas only a bit more than a year ago the AUD was buying as high 107 YEN? someone please let me know, how will it look for exchange rates seeing as though Australia's economy is going okay where Japan's economy is going into recession? Link to comment https://www.sau.com.au/forums/topic/258596-relief-in-sight-for-aussie-importers-car-enthusiasts-ect-ect/#findComment-4445725 Share on other sites More sharing options...
changi Posted February 25, 2009 Share Posted February 25, 2009 won't our dollar be low still as it was before, $1 AUD is still only buying 96 YEN whereas only a bit more than a year ago the AUD was buying as high 107 YEN?someone please let me know, how will it look for exchange rates seeing as though Australia's economy is going okay where Japan's economy is going into recession? if you can get 96 yen for 1AUD, take it, then run!!!.. Link to comment https://www.sau.com.au/forums/topic/258596-relief-in-sight-for-aussie-importers-car-enthusiasts-ect-ect/#findComment-4445754 Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marco-R34GTT Posted February 25, 2009 Author Share Posted February 25, 2009 (edited) won't our dollar be low still as it was before, $1 AUD is still only buying 96 YEN whereas only a bit more than a year ago the AUD was buying as high 107 YEN?someone please let me know, how will it look for exchange rates seeing as though Australia's economy is going okay where Japan's economy is going into recession? Here is a good sight Andrew. http://www.ozforex.com.au/ $1AUD is currently buying 63.5 Yen. AUD vs JPY over the last 12 months: http://www.chartflow.com/fx/historybasic.asp Edited February 25, 2009 by Marco-R34GTT Link to comment https://www.sau.com.au/forums/topic/258596-relief-in-sight-for-aussie-importers-car-enthusiasts-ect-ect/#findComment-4445785 Share on other sites More sharing options...
hoony Posted February 25, 2009 Share Posted February 25, 2009 umm... 63.5Y excuse me i withdraw what i said, i didn't know it dropped so dramatically that sucks Link to comment https://www.sau.com.au/forums/topic/258596-relief-in-sight-for-aussie-importers-car-enthusiasts-ect-ect/#findComment-4445816 Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinky Rooster Posted February 25, 2009 Share Posted February 25, 2009 japanese cakes rock my pants man but srsly, with the whipping the australian dollar is getting at the moment, I dont think we can hope to see any real improvement, especially one that is going to be reflected in the price of parts, any time in the hear future. The price of cars is gonna takew a bit of a hit, but the truth is, even with the AU in freefall over the last 6 months, importing hasnt actually gone up in price anywhere near as much as you would expect, ergo we are already seeing the cost savings in that area..... Link to comment https://www.sau.com.au/forums/topic/258596-relief-in-sight-for-aussie-importers-car-enthusiasts-ect-ect/#findComment-4445826 Share on other sites More sharing options...
-Dukes- Posted February 25, 2009 Share Posted February 25, 2009 I was waiting for this to happen, I knew the Japanese would start to feel the heat eventually. Link to comment https://www.sau.com.au/forums/topic/258596-relief-in-sight-for-aussie-importers-car-enthusiasts-ect-ect/#findComment-4446110 Share on other sites More sharing options...
OzCarImports Posted February 25, 2009 Share Posted February 25, 2009 (edited) I think if the AUD/YEN it will still only be around high 60's - low 70's at very best for the moment 5 piont swing helps alot, the problem is though that the Japanese are buying alot of the 2nd hand stock and also new cars aren't selling, making it hard to buy good quality 2nd hand gear to send here - be interesting to see where it all ends up over the next six months. Edited February 25, 2009 by OzCarImports Link to comment https://www.sau.com.au/forums/topic/258596-relief-in-sight-for-aussie-importers-car-enthusiasts-ect-ect/#findComment-4446144 Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marco-R34GTT Posted February 27, 2009 Author Share Posted February 27, 2009 JAPANESE INDUSTRIAL OUTPUT PLUNGES! Looks like our Japanese friends are in for some rough economic times.. This reiterates my point that a fall in the Yen should soon follow.. Here is some basic economic theory as to HOW this happens and what causes currencies to fluctuate on the international market.. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exchange_rate Link to comment https://www.sau.com.au/forums/topic/258596-relief-in-sight-for-aussie-importers-car-enthusiasts-ect-ect/#findComment-4449994 Share on other sites More sharing options...
rtune Posted February 27, 2009 Share Posted February 27, 2009 JAPANESE INDUSTRIAL OUTPUT PLUNGES!Looks like our Japanese friends are in for some rough economic times.. This reiterates my point that a fall in the Yen should soon follow.. Here is some basic economic theory as to HOW this happens and what causes currencies to fluctuate on the international market.. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exchange_rate the fall in the yen (against USD) has already happened, down 8% for the week. However this isn't good news unless you're american as it outlines that the ONLY safe place for money is now the USA, not switzerland, not Japan (and not australia). So the aussie isn't going to shoot up anytime soon and it needs to, to make a dent on these import prices. Link to comment https://www.sau.com.au/forums/topic/258596-relief-in-sight-for-aussie-importers-car-enthusiasts-ect-ect/#findComment-4450079 Share on other sites More sharing options...
reNEGaDe88 Posted March 8, 2009 Share Posted March 8, 2009 July last year 1 AUD to 100 Yen, Now 1 AUD to 55 Yen. Meh give it a few months and it will even out again. But no more america or china. India wins Link to comment https://www.sau.com.au/forums/topic/258596-relief-in-sight-for-aussie-importers-car-enthusiasts-ect-ect/#findComment-4465089 Share on other sites More sharing options...
quiksta Posted March 8, 2009 Share Posted March 8, 2009 What you also have to remember is that the AUD was ridiculously overvalued when it was buying around 100 YEN last year. Don't expect these kind of numbers again. Link to comment https://www.sau.com.au/forums/topic/258596-relief-in-sight-for-aussie-importers-car-enthusiasts-ect-ect/#findComment-4465221 Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ehgriez Posted March 8, 2009 Share Posted March 8, 2009 The Yen is over valued as well though, I remember honda was calling for the japanese government to decrease the value of the yen or they were threatening to move offshore. Hopefully we will see the yen come down in value which will offset the terrible AUD Link to comment https://www.sau.com.au/forums/topic/258596-relief-in-sight-for-aussie-importers-car-enthusiasts-ect-ect/#findComment-4465748 Share on other sites More sharing options...
rev210 Posted March 9, 2009 Share Posted March 9, 2009 Japan is a very large trade partner. Japan's industry based on product supply from us = secodary and tertiary Australia supplies primary product for this. Primary products attract the lowest value add. If Japan gets a currency flogging so do we. It's not getting better anytime soon. There is still room for it to get worse. Link to comment https://www.sau.com.au/forums/topic/258596-relief-in-sight-for-aussie-importers-car-enthusiasts-ect-ect/#findComment-4467377 Share on other sites More sharing options...
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